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NEW QUESTION: 1
NEW QUESTION: 2
Nigel Holmes, CFA, is an investment manager for a small money management firm in London. All of Holmes' clients are citizens of the U.K. Holmes urges all of his clients to maintain internationally diversified portfolios. In his efforts to find undervalued securities, he is currently analyzing a Canadian company called Slapshot, Inc. Slapshot produces hockey equipment at its Canadian manufacturing facilities. About 85% of Slapshot's sales are to the U.S. market, and the remainder are domestic (i.e., in Canada). Sales have been growing at 12% per year. Last year's sales were C$68,000,000. Holmes has gathered the following market information (inflation is perfectly predictable):
* £/$ spot exchange rate = 0.8
* £/C$ spot exchange rate = 0.4
* U.K. risk-free rate = 6%
* U.K. expected inflation rate = 4%
* Canadian risk-free rate = 9%
* Canadian expected inflation rate = 7%
* U.S. risk-free rate = 4%
* U.S. expected inflation = 2%
Holmes uses the international CAPM (ICAPM) to value international investments. For Slapshot, Holmes believes that the stock's returns are sensitive to the £/C$ exchange rate. In order to apply the model, he estimates the following parameters using the £ as the base currency:
* World market risk premium = 6%
* Sensitivity of Slapshot to the world market = 1.2
* Sensitivity of Slapshot to changes in the £/C$ exchange rate = 1.4
* Holmes' expectation for the depreciation of the C$ against the £ = 2%
* The ratio of the price of the U.K. consumption basket to the Canadian consumption basket is 0.3.
Holmes adds Slapshot stock to several client portfolios at a purchase price of C$ 100. One year later, the stock is trading at C$ 122. There were no dividend payments during the year.
If the real exchange rate remained constant, the GBP (£) return on Slapshot for Holmes' clients is closest to:
The GBP return is equal to the CAD return, plus appreciation of the CAD. The CAD return is 22% [= ( - ) / - (122 - 100) / 100]. Since the real exchange rate remained constant, the change in the nominal rate muse be equal to the inflation differential. Since U.K. inflation is 4% and Canadian inflation is 7%, there is an inflation differential of-3%. This means that the C$ is expected to depreciate by 3% or, equivalently, the £ is expected to appreciate by 3%. Hence, the GBP return is 19% (= 22% minus 3% depreciation of the CAD). (Study Session 18, LOS 66.f)
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